Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 15.194122 17.113543 19.199622 21.638035 24.413693 27.479027 31.126487
2025-03-16 12.274454 14.806999 17.768601 21.498731 26.087084 31.566599 38.636124
2025-03-23 10.531251 13.501228 17.208665 22.203136 28.796104 37.257113 49.027466
2025-03-30 8.922977 12.078070 16.254070 22.233294 30.652438 42.199249 59.432816
2025-04-06 7.492836 10.646967 15.047001 21.704595 31.648315 46.147207 69.251678
2025-04-13 6.417723 9.530965 14.087407 21.340987 32.783839 50.451722 80.402412
2025-04-20 5.779548 8.948336 13.801655 21.911680 35.396189 57.403809 97.037274
2025-04-27 5.271558 8.483788 13.616465 22.592718 38.277971 65.265946 116.777272
2025-05-04 4.772472 7.957314 13.247959 22.897985 40.558454 72.486401 136.866920
2025-05-11 4.227122 7.275430 12.519558 22.456089 41.423026 77.304368 153.423822
2025-05-18 3.776984 6.696354 11.885965 22.078383 42.325478 82.320854 171.405282
2025-05-25 3.407079 6.211583 11.353654 21.802546 43.364406 87.761418 191.420450
2025-06-01 3.104730 5.822350 10.963809 21.780228 44.987610 94.859076 217.132166
2025-06-08 2.831991 5.455223 10.568615 21.689428 46.462347 101.947277 244.625637
2025-06-15 2.677523 5.300663 10.572490 22.436185 49.908696 114.143475 287.773479
2025-06-22 2.473116 5.018828 10.279026 22.491442 51.795673 123.086574 324.937823
2025-06-29 2.242856 4.654752 9.765502 21.972869 52.234623 128.592512 354.281389
2025-07-06 2.053016 4.353917 9.349595 21.615822 53.004649 135.091450 388.214484
2025-07-13 1.953188 4.238187 9.329201 22.202593 56.284815 148.914778 447.968024
2025-07-20 1.868771 4.146656 9.351709 22.899235 59.990443 164.723957 518.718903
2025-07-27 1.766578 4.001924 9.231087 23.213078 62.716589 178.347072 586.534639
2025-08-03 1.629110 3.758313 8.843239 22.767415 63.221328 185.494608 634.301395
2025-08-10 1.508648 3.542361 8.497747 22.385963 63.852415 193.199546 686.626201